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Subscribe21 MAY 2025 / ECONOMY
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has negotiated three major trade agreements with the US, European Union, and India, in response to the blanket 10% tariff on US imports initiated by former President Donald Trump. These agreements, seen as a strategic move to bolster the UK's economy following Brexit and counteract the tariffs, span industries including autos, aerospace, and pharmaceuticals, however, they do not fully eliminate the tariffs imposed by the US, sparking debates regarding the long-term stability of the UK’s economy.
When former President Donald Trump dropped a blanket 10% tariff on virtually all imports into the United States this April, dubbed "Liberation Day" by his base, few countries were hit harder or more awkwardly than the United Kingdom. Reeling from post-Brexit trade friction, a slowing eurozone, and volatile global markets, the UK suddenly found itself staring down the barrel of a protectionist revival. But Prime Minister Keir Starmer didn’t blink. Instead, he went on a diplomatic spree, clinching three landmark trade agreements in less than a month, with the United States, the European Union, and India, that are reshaping Britain’s post-Brexit economic playbook. It’s a bold move to stabilize the UK economy, cut red tape, revive investor confidence, and, crucially, soften the blow of tariffs, taxes, and trade walls. But is it enough to keep the growth streak going in 2025? Let’s break it down, deal by deal.
The UK-US trade deal, billed as historic by both Downing Street and Trump Tower, slashed tariffs on cars (from 27.5% down to 10% for up to 100,000 UK-made vehicles), eliminated duties on steel and aluminum, and opened doors for British aerospace and pharma exports. Trump called it a “golden age of new opportunity.” Starmer? He framed it as a job creator.
Financial highlights:
But here's the kicker: this ain’t a full-blown free trade agreement. The 10% blanket tariff Trump slapped globally is still sticking around for most UK goods. Congress hasn’t even been looped in yet, which means we’re looking at an executive patch-up, not a long-term treaty. Still, for UK exporters staring down a 27.5% auto tariff pre-deal, this is a fat W.
Call it a course correction or political realism, but Starmer’s UK-EU reset marks the most substantial thaw since Brexit took effect in 2020. The Lancaster House summit with EU chiefs Ursula von der Leyen and Antonio Costa produced a sweeping framework covering trade, defence, agriculture, and youth mobility.
This is less about trade volumes and more about de-risking the post-Brexit chaos. For UK farmers and food producers, especially those trading in the EU, it's a clear win. But there's a tradeoff: dynamic alignment. That means the UK will shadow some EU regulations, particularly on food safety and emissions, a move critics are calling a “soft surrender.
The UK-India free trade agreement was three years in the making and is now being hailed as the UK’s “biggest and most economically significant bilateral deal since Brexit.” Here's what’s cooking:
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Source: BBC
This is the UK’s largest bilateral deal since Brexit and a vital foothold in Asia’s fastest-growing economy. India’s population of 1.4 billion and its exploding middle class make this deal a no-brainer for UK businesses.
All these deals come amid a UK economy that just grew 0.7% in Q1 2025, outpacing all G7 peers. Business investment shot up 5.9%, the strongest in two years, driven by infrastructure spend and pre-tariff inventory stockpiling. But don’t pop the bubbly just yet. Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ new social security tax hikes and minimum wage laws just kicked in. They’re popular with voters but seen as headwinds by business groups. And while these trade deals cushion the tariff blows, Trump’s 10% across-the-board levy still weighs on UK exports, with many industries still scrambling to navigate patchy access. ICAEW’s Suren Thiru warns: “This is probably the pinnacle for UK growth this year… as tax and tariff rises bite.”
While the UK struck deals abroad, it also tightened the reins at home. New legislation to regulate Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) giants like Klarna and Clearpay will kick in next year:
Treasury: “These rules protect shoppers from debt traps.” It’s a move toward stronger consumer protection, and one that financial institutions have long pushed for.
In just a few whirlwind weeks, the UK has pivoted from reacting to Trump-era tariffs to redefining its post-Brexit global posture. These three deals don’t just buy economic breathing room; they restore some of the leverage and market access lost since 2020. But growth isn’t guaranteed. The UK must now execute, invest, and insulate itself from global shocks because the tariffs, taxes, and political headwinds aren’t going anywhere. Still, if diplomacy is a chessboard, Starmer’s just put three knights in play. Now it’s time to see whether they gallop or get boxed in. Like this deep dive? Subscribe for more insights on trade, geopolitics, and what they mean for the markets that move your world.
Until next time…
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