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How Nissan and Honda’s Merger Could Shake Up EVs

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19 DEC 2024 / BUSINESS

How Nissan and Honda’s Merger Could Shake Up EVs

How Nissan and Honda’s Merger Could Shake Up EVs

Nissan and Honda are reportedly in advanced talks for a $54 billion merger that could reshape the global auto industry. This bold move, if finalized, would create the world’s third-largest automaker by sales, producing over 8 million vehicles annually. With the electric vehicle (EV) revolution in full swing, the partnership signals a significant shift as these two Japanese giants seek to stay competitive against EV leaders like Tesla and China’s BYD. But the challenges ahead reveal the high stakes of this endeavor.

Can Nissan and Honda Outrace Tesla?

The merger isn’t just about scale, it’s survival. Legacy automakers like Nissan and Honda are struggling to keep up in the EV race. Nissan, known for the early success of its Leaf EV, has recently struggled with weak sales in the U.S. and China. Meanwhile, Honda, recognized for hybrids and motorcycles, needs Nissan’s battery expertise to bolster its EV offerings. Adding Mitsubishi Motors to the mix where Nissan holds a 24% stake could create a Japanese powerhouse rivaling Toyota and Volkswagen. Accelerating the talks was Foxconn, the Taiwan-based electronics giant, which reportedly approached Nissan about acquiring a stake to expand its EV ambitions.

Roadblocks Ahead

The merger between Nissan and Honda might seem like a match made in EV heaven, but it’s got some serious roadblocks. For starters, Nissan’s tangled alliance with Renault—where Renault holds a 15% voting stake—throws a wrench in the works. While Renault supports Nissan’s growth, they’ll likely demand guarantees to protect their tech-sharing projects. Analysts think Renault might even benefit if Nissan teams up with a powerhouse like Honda, but let’s be real—it could also slow the whole deal to a crawl.

And that’s just the start. Honda’s EV and battery dreams, including big bucks in Canada, need to jive with Nissan’s global game plan. Toss in cultural clashes, operational headaches, and Japan’s hawk-eyed regulators (bracing for workforce cuts), and you’ve got a lot to juggle. Nissan’s financial troubles don’t help—$62 million in losses last quarter, 9,000 layoffs, and plans to shrink production by 20%. But hey, their EV chops, from the Leaf to the Ariya, are pure gold for Honda. If they can untangle this web, the payoff might just be worth the grind.

The Elephant in the Room

China’s EV makers, like BYD and Nio, dominate with affordable, innovative models, controlling over 51% of their domestic market. This dominance is squeezing legacy automakers globally, including Nissan, whose sales in China have halved since 2019. Honda’s hybrid success in the U.S. provides some cushion, but both companies need to adapt quickly to compete. In the U.S., Nissan’s significant manufacturing presence in Tennessee anchors its EV strategy. However, the EV market faces headwinds, including overstated demand projections, buyer hesitancy, and the potential rollback of tax incentives under the incoming Trump administration.

“Manufacturers must lead the charge in shifting consumer preferences,” notes Don Bruce, an economist at the University of Tennessee. “Honda joining forces with Nissan could amplify their impact in key markets like the U.S.”

Is It Too Late?

Analysts are divided. While some investors see the merger as a necessary response to industry upheaval, others worry it’s coming too late. “They need more than a flashy announcement,” warns Lucinda Guthrie, an industry observer. Delivering cost savings and innovation quickly will be critical. Investor reactions have been mixed. Nissan’s stock surged 30% following the merger talks, while Honda’s stock dropped 5%, reflecting skepticism about the merger’s immediate benefits. A memorandum of understanding is expected by late December, suggesting rapid progress in negotiations.

What’s Next?

This merger could redefine what it means to be a legacy automaker in an electrified future. By combining forces, Nissan and Honda aim to pool resources, reduce costs, and tackle the challenges posed by industry disruptors. Yet, this isn’t just about EVs, it’s about remaining relevant in a rapidly changing world. “These talks highlight a tough reality: traditional automakers face an uphill battle,” says Michael Brisson, an auto economist at Moody’s Analytics. “The industry’s transformation is accelerating, and only those who adapt will thrive.” In the words of Yogi Berra, “It isn’t over till it’s over.” For Nissan and Honda, the journey ahead promises to be electrifying. Stay ahead in accounting, tax, and finance—subscribe to MYCPE ONE Insights for the latest updates and industry news delivered straight to your inbox.

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