22 Causes of the Next Crash of 2029 1 Credit
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In our everyday lives, the grip of inflation tightens, signaling a persistent concern that refuses to fade away. Lessons from Japan's history are a stark reminder: caution is key to avoiding slipping into the abyss of prolonged economic stagnation.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) grapples with a significant financial hurdle—annual operating losses totaling $244 billion. Conventional wisdom suggests market forces should determine fair prices for stocks and bonds, presenting the Fed with a dilemma: pivot back to the Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) or delicately continue unwinding its unprecedented $8 trillion balance sheet.
An alternative perspective urges the Fed to resist ZIRP's pull, focusing on gradually unwinding its colossal balance sheet. Unraveling this $8 trillion position may restore equilibrium but demands meticulous execution to avoid an economic collapse. Â As inflation shapes our economic landscape, the Fed faces a complex dilemma. This course will discuss choices that can be made in the coming months and reverberate across the U.S. economy. Striking a balance between market forces, interest rate policies, and balance sheet unwinding becomes crucial, guiding the nation away from prolonged economic downturns.Â
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Ronald J. Surz is president of PPCA Inc. and its division, Target Date Solutions. He is a pension consulting veteran, having started with A.G. Becker in the 1970's. Ron earned an MBA in Finance at the University of Chicago and an MS in Applied Mathematics at the University of Illinois.
He has published regularly in such publications as The Journal of Wealth Management, The Journal of Investing, Journal of Portfolio Management, Pensions & Investments, Senior Consultant, HorsesMouth and the IMCA® Monitor, as well as contributed to and edited several books. Ron's most recent book is Fiduciary Handbook for Understanding and Selecting Target Date Funds: It's All About the Beneficiaries. Ron has served as a member of the following boards and councils:
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We issue instant credit certificates, ensuring they are valid for presentation to governing bodies. Typically, we report IRS, CTEC, CFP, IDFP, IWI, VBOA Ethics credits within 7 days – the fastest in the industry.
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Excellent presentation by Ronald Surz. The information shared was very thought provoking and I appreciated his honest reflection on the current economic status. I wish I was bold enough to implement his advice (no stocks!), but there are some elements of truth in his information. More advisors are Talmudic advice and I am concerned that the US economy is on the down spiral. Thanks for the information. I enjoyed this topic more than many of the other courses and I highly recommend this course. An honest thinker who sees the writing on the wall. Thank you Ronald.
Excellent presentation by a very knowledgeable and accurate speaker. The presentation could be longer. Please include Mr. Surz in more presentations. His presentation was pre-recorded. Live presentations are always appreciated. He made mention of yesterday being "Thursday". The presentation was broadcast Monday.
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