myCPE

The Inflation Outlook 1 Credit 1 Credit

Jun 06, 2022, 03:00 PM ET

The Inflation Outlook 1 Credit 1 Credit

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Jun 06, 2022, 03:00 PM ET

Learning Objectives

  • To analyze how inflation is measured, and why inflation sometimes feels higher than it is.
  • To explain how COVID-era policies have changed the short-term and long-term inflation outlook, and the difference between a peak in inflation and a peak in prices.
  • To discuss what causes inflation, and why the central bank does not need to ‘destroy demand’ to rein in inflation – but understand what it does need to do.
  • To explore how confusing micro-and macro- frames lead to erroneous conclusions about the causes of inflation.
  • To identify the important things to look for in the monthly CPI inflation report.

Course Overview

Since the end of the 2020 COVID lockdowns, inflation has exploded into a problem that persistently influences many aspects of our lives as consumers and investors.

How did it happen? How long will it last? How will markets respond?

First, the instructor will discuss the measurement of inflation, including the major public measures of inflation, and will also explain why inflation often feels different (usually higher) than the reports say it is. In doing so, he will also explain why some critiques of the Consumer Price Index are wrong and will go into enough modest detail that students will have a framework with which to examine the monthly CPI report and look for clues.

The instructor will discuss different aspects of the current economic landscape, including fiscal, monetary, and administrative policy going into and coming out of the global pandemic. Components of the current inflation outlook are explained in detail, with expectations for the balance of 2022, 2023, and beyond explained. He will explain how shortages and price increases are related; the difference between a supply shock and demand shock and how businesses are responding and changing their business models in response to inflation, in ways that will render the inflation harder to extinguish.

A fair amount of discussion will involve contrasting monetary policy as currently practiced by central banks with monetary policy as previously practiced, with explicit analysis (and criticism where warranted). We will examine the concept of equilibrium nominal interest rates and equilibrium real rates, and why intuition based on microeconomic understandings sometimes leads observers – including central bankers – to erroneous conclusions.

Fully half of all Americans alive today were born after the last time we saw inflation this high. In this CPE Finance course, we will relearn the lessons of a generation and a half ago.

On Demand Credits for All Qualifications

Live Webinar Credits for All Qualifications

License details Credits Status
Finance for Certified Public Accountants (CPA-US) 1 CPE Approved
Certified Management Accountants (CMA) 1 CPE Eligible
Accredited in Business Valuation (ABV) 1 CPD Eligible
Personal Financial Specialist (PFS) 1 CPD Eligible
Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) 1 PL Eligible
Certified Government Financial Manager (CGFM) 1 CPE Eligible
Chartered Financial Consultant (ChFC) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Wealth Strategist (CWS) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Fiduciary and Investment Risk Specialist (CFIRS) 1 CE Eligible
Retirement Income Certified Professional (RICP) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Valuation Analyst (CVA) 1 CPE Eligible
Wealth Management Certified Professional (WMCP) 1 CE Eligible
Financial Services Certified Professional (FSCP) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Treasury Professional (CTP) 1 CE Eligible
Chartered Special Needs Consultant (ChSNC) 1 CE Eligible
Chartered Advisor in Senior Living (CASL) 1 CE Eligible
Certified FP&A Professional (FP&A) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Business Appraiser (CBA)/Master Certified Business Appraiser (MCBA) 1 CPE Eligible
CIPM 1 PL Eligible
License details Credits Status
Finance for Certified Public Accountants (CPA-US) 1 CPE Approved
Certified Management Accountants (CMA) 1 CPE Eligible
Accredited in Business Valuation (ABV) 1 CPD Eligible
Personal Financial Specialist (PFS) 1 CPD Eligible
Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) 1 PL Eligible
Certified Government Financial Manager (CGFM) 1 CPE Eligible
Chartered Financial Consultant (ChFC) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Wealth Strategist (CWS) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Fiduciary and Investment Risk Specialist (CFIRS) 1 CE Eligible
Retirement Income Certified Professional (RICP) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Valuation Analyst (CVA) 1 CPE Eligible
Wealth Management Certified Professional (WMCP) 1 CE Eligible
Financial Services Certified Professional (FSCP) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Treasury Professional (CTP) 1 CE Eligible
Chartered Special Needs Consultant (ChSNC) 1 CE Eligible
Chartered Advisor in Senior Living (CASL) 1 CE Eligible
Certified FP&A Professional (FP&A) 1 CE Eligible
Certified Business Appraiser (CBA)/Master Certified Business Appraiser (MCBA) 1 CPE Eligible
CIPM 1 PL Eligible

Additional Information

Credit

1

Course Level

Basic

Instructional Method

QAS Self Study

Group Internet Based

Pre-requisites

None

Advance Preparation

None

NASBA APPROVED

MY-CPE LLC, 1600 Highway 6 south, suite 250, sugar land, TX, 77478

MY-CPE LLC (Sponsor Id#: 143597) is registered with the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy (NASBA) as a sponsor of continuing professional education on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. State boards of accountancy have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit. Complaints regarding registered sponsors may be submitted to the National Registry of CPE Sponsors.

About Instructor

Michael Ashton

Michael Ashton

, Enduring Investments LLC

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Mr. Ashton is a pioneer in the U.S. inflation derivatives market. Prior to founding Enduring Investments, Mr. Ashton worked for several large investment banks as a relative value strategist and as an options and inflation trader. Since 2003, when he traded the first interbank U.S. CPI swaps, and 2004 when he invented and was the lead market maker for the CME’s CPI Futures contract, he has played an integral role in developing new instruments and methods for accessing and hedging various inflation exposures.

Widely known by his trademarked moniker “the Inflation Guy,” Mr. Ashton is a frequent industry speaker and lecturer on inflation topics as well as an architect of inflation indexed products for hedging real exposures. He is the author of “Cents and Sensibility: The Inflation Guy Podcast,” thousands of blog posts and articles, and two books. 

Mr. Ashton has a depth of experience and knowledge about inflation and the way inflation impacts markets that allows him to communicate this complex topic in easy-to-understand ways. It's this talent for explaining that have made him a regular and popular guest on Bloomberg TV, TD Ameritrade Network, and other television programs as well as on a variety of podcasts and numerous radio programs. 

Mr. Ashton has worked for large, world-class organizations, but he is also an entrepreneur who founded Enduring Investments, a boutique inflation specialty firm which counts as clients everyone from white-shoe investment banks to low-income individual investors. He also consults on inflation topics for service and manufacturing concerns.

On Demand FAQs

What is Self Study (QAS)?

Self Study QAS (Quality Assurance Service) is a NASBA and other regulatory bodies approved program designed for Professionals to complete their Continuing Professional Education credits through self-paced, interactive courses that meet the highest standards of quality and compliance. We are approved by NASBA, IRS, CFP Board, HRCI, SHRM, Payroll Org, FP Canada, and 25+ other regulatory bodies.

How do I earn CPE credits through self-study?

To earn CPE credits, you must complete the self-study course, pass the required assessments, and submit the necessary documentation. Credits are awarded based on the completion of course hours and successfully passing the assessments.

Are the self-study courses approved by NASBA and other regulatory bodies?

Yes, all our self-study courses are approved by NASBA, IRS, CFP Board, HRCI, SHRM, Payroll Org, FP Canada, and 25+ other regulatory bodies, ensuring they meet the rigorous standards for quality and educational content set by these organizations.

What are the requirements to maintain compliance with self-study courses?

To maintain compliance, you must follow the guidelines set by NASBA and other regulatory bodies, which include completing the course within the specified timeframe, passing the assessments, and keeping accurate records of your learning activities.

How can I access my course completion certificates?

After successfully completing a self-study course and passing the assessments, you can access and download your course completion certificates from your account dashboard on our platform. These certificates are recognized by NASBA, IRS, CFP Board, HRCI, SHRM, Payroll Org, FP Canada, and 25+ other regulatory bodies for compliance and reporting purposes.

How are credits reported to governing bodies?

We issue instant credit certificates, ensuring they are valid for presentation to governing bodies. Typically, we report IRS, CTEC, CFP, IDFP, IWI, VBOA Ethics credits within 7 days – the fastest in the industry.

Live Webinar FAQs

What is a Live Webinar Group Internet-Based Credit?

A Live Webinar Group Internet-Based Credit is an interactive, real-time online seminar where professionals can earn Continuing Education credits by participating in live sessions led by experts in various fields. These sessions meet the standards set by NASBA, IRS, CFP Board, HRCI, SHRM, Payroll Org, FP Canada, and 25+ other regulatory bodies.

How do I earn credits through live webinars?

To earn credits, you must attend the entire live webinar, actively participate in any polls or questions, and complete any required evaluations or assessments. Credits are awarded based on your attendance and participation in the live session.

Are the live webinars approved by NASBA and other regulatory bodies?

Yes, all our live webinars are approved by NASBA, IRS, CFP Board, HRCI, SHRM, Payroll Org, FP Canada, and 25+ other regulatory bodies, ensuring they meet the high standards for quality, interactivity, and educational content set by these organizations.

What are the requirements to maintain compliance with live webinar courses?

To maintain compliance, you must adhere to the guidelines set by NASBA and other regulatory bodies, which include attending the full duration of the webinar, participating in interactive elements, and completing any post-webinar evaluations or assessments.

How can I access my webinar completion certificates?

After successfully attending a live webinar and fulfilling all participation requirements, you can access and download your completion certificates from your account dashboard on our platform. These certificates are recognized by NASBA, IRS, CFP Board, HRCI, SHRM, Payroll Org, FP Canada, and 25+ other regulatory bodies for compliance and reporting purposes.

How are credits reported to governing bodies?

We issue instant credit certificates, ensuring they are valid for presentation to governing bodies. Typically, we report IRS, CTEC, CFP, IDFP, IWI, VBOA Ethics credits within 7 days – the fastest in the industry.

Reviews and Ratings

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John Skouberdis, CPA (US)

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